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U.S.-India Trade Deal Stalled Because Modi Didn’t Call Trump: Howard Lutnick

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03:56

U.S.-India Trade Deal Stalled Because Modi Didn’t Call Trump: Howard Lutnick

A proposed India–US trade deal collapsed not because of tariffs, legal language, or unresolved policy disputes, but because of something far more personal. According to the Trump administration, the deal fell apart because a phone call from India’s prime minister never came.

That claim was made this week by Howard Lutnick, who said Prime Minister Narendra Modi failed to personally reach out to President Donald Trump, prompting Washington to walk away from an agreement it believed was nearly finalized.

The comments have reopened questions about how diplomacy functioned during Trump’s presidency and why India, once seen as a top strategic and economic partner, ended up losing momentum in trade talks with the US.

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What exactly did Howard Lutnick say?

Speaking on the All-In Podcast, Lutnick described the negotiations as largely complete from a technical standpoint. According to him, trade officials on both sides had aligned on the framework, and only a final political signal was needed to close the deal.

Lutnick said he had personally asked Indian officials to arrange a direct call between Modi and Trump. That outreach, he claimed, never happened.

“They were uncomfortable with it,” Lutnick said, referring to the Indian side. As a result, he said, the US interpreted the silence as hesitation or lack of urgency.

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Why did a phone call matter so much?

Under Trump, personal engagement often carried exceptional weight. Unlike traditional administrations that rely heavily on institutional channels, Trump frequently viewed leader-to-leader communication as a marker of seriousness.

From the US perspective, a direct call would have signaled that India was ready to move from negotiation to commitment. Without it, officials in Washington assumed the deal was not a priority for New Delhi.

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This difference in diplomatic style may have proved costly. India’s approach tends to emphasize formal processes and bureaucratic continuity, while Trump’s White House placed unusual importance on personal rapport.

Why did the US move on so quickly?

Lutnick said Washington had expected India to be among the first countries to finalize a trade agreement during Trump’s second term. Acting on that assumption, the US continued negotiations with other nations instead of waiting.

Within days, the US concluded trade deals with Indonesia, the Philippines, and Vietnam. These agreements were announced publicly and at higher tariff rates than those being discussed with India.

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Once those deals were signed, the negotiating baseline shifted. According to Lutnick, India believed earlier terms were still available, but the US no longer viewed them as valid.

When Indian officials later signaled readiness to proceed, Lutnick said the moment had passed. The framework had changed, and Washington had already moved on.

What this reveals about Trump-era diplomacy

The episode highlights a defining characteristic of Trump’s approach to foreign policy: personalization.

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Deals were often driven less by multilateral processes and more by direct engagement between leaders. Phone calls, public gestures, and personal chemistry frequently mattered as much as policy alignment.

For countries accustomed to slower, protocol-driven diplomacy, this created challenges. Silence or delay, even if unintentional, could be interpreted as disinterest.

India’s experience suggests that strategic alignment and economic logic were sometimes secondary to optics and personal signaling in Trump’s negotiating style.

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How Russia and tariffs complicated the picture

The collapse of the trade deal did not happen in isolation. It came amid rising tensions over India’s energy ties with Russia.

Lutnick’s remarks followed the passage of a bipartisan US sanctions bill authorizing tariffs of up to 500 percent on imports from countries purchasing Russian oil. India was explicitly named, along with China and Brazil.

According to Lutnick, the legislation gives Trump significant leverage to pressure these countries to reduce energy trade with Russia, which the US argues is helping finance Moscow’s war in Ukraine.

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Trade relations had already deteriorated in 2025, when Trump doubled tariffs on Indian goods to 50 percent. That included a 25 percent retaliatory levy directly tied to India’s continued oil purchases from Russia. At the time, it was the highest tariff rate imposed on any major economy.

Has India responded?

So far, there has been no formal response from New Delhi to Lutnick’s comments.

In earlier statements, Indian officials have cited shifting US tariff demands, political uncertainty in Washington, and disagreements over market access as reasons the talks stalled. Whether the absence of a phone call truly derailed the deal or whether deeper structural issues were at play remains unclear.

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Any official response from India should be sourced directly from statements by the Ministry of Commerce or the Ministry of External Affairs.

Why this matters beyond one trade deal

This episode has broader implications for the future of India–US relations.

It underscores how fragile trade negotiations can become when they hinge on personal diplomacy rather than institutional continuity. It also highlights how geopolitical issues, particularly Russia and energy security, now directly influence trade outcomes.

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For India, the takeaway may be that engagement with Washington under Trump required faster political signaling, not just policy alignment. For the US, the risk lies in sidelining long-term partners by prioritizing speed and symbolism over durable agreements.

What happens next?

Lutnick made it clear that the US is no longer considering the earlier version of the trade deal.

That does not mean negotiations are permanently dead, but any future agreement would likely begin from a tougher starting point. Higher tariff benchmarks, sanctions pressure, and geopolitical concessions would all factor heavily into renewed talks.

With elections, global conflicts, and economic uncertainty shaping both capitals, rebuilding momentum will not be easy.

TL;DR

A senior Trump administration official claims a nearly finalized India–US trade deal collapsed because Prime Minister Modi never personally called President Trump. The US moved ahead with higher-tariff deals with other countries, and when India returned to the table, the original terms were gone. The episode highlights how personal diplomacy, Russia-related sanctions, and tariffs reshaped trade relations during the Trump era.