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After Venezuela, Is Colombia Next? Trump’s Warning Raises Stakes in Latin America
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President Donald Trump’s off-the-cuff remark aboard Air Force One, “Sounds good to me,” has landed with the weight of policy. Coming just a day after US forces captured former Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro, the comment suggested that Colombia could be next in Washington’s sights. For a country long positioned as a US security partner, the implication alone is enough to jolt diplomats, investors, and ordinary Colombians alike.
Within hours, Trump doubled down, casting Colombia as “very sick” and singling out President Gustavo Petro as a leader failing to control cocaine production. The words matter not only for what they threaten but also for what they reveal about a broader shift in US strategy toward Latin America.
Trump’s comments were not part of a prepared speech. They came in response to a direct question about possible US military action in Colombia. His answer was brief, approving, and deliberately open-ended.
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This was not an isolated outburst. Over the past several months, Trump has repeatedly criticized Petro, accusing him of being hostile to the United States and lax on drugs. In October, he reportedly referred to Petro as a “thug.” In December, he warned that any country “selling drugs into our country is subject to attack.”
Taken together, the statements form a clear message: patience in Washington is wearing thin.
The timing is critical. Maduro’s capture marked an extraordinary escalation in US action against a sitting or former regional leader. By raising Colombia immediately afterward, Trump implicitly linked the two cases, even though the countries’ relationships with Washington are very different.
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For allies and adversaries alike, the subtext was unmistakable. The US is willing to act unilaterally in the region if it believes its core interests are being threatened.
Colombia’s role in the global cocaine trade is well-documented and deeply entrenched. The country remains the world’s largest producer of coca, the raw plant used to make cocaine.
According to United Nations estimates, nearly 253,000 hectares of land in Colombia are devoted to coca cultivation. That div alone explains why Colombia so often sits at the center of US drug policy discussions.
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Coca production cannot be separated from Colombia’s internal conflict. For more than six decades, armed groups have funded themselves through the drug trade, including
Any aggressive crackdown risks reigniting violence in regions that are already fragile.
Gustavo Petro is Colombia’s first left-wing president in modern history, and his drug policy marks a clear break from traditional US-backed strategies.
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Previous administrations emphasized crop eradication, including aerial spraying and forced destruction of coca fields. Critics argued these methods punished small farmers while leaving trafficking networks intact.
Petro has shifted focus toward:
Supporters say this approach is more humane and realistic. Critics, including Trump, see it as weak enforcement.
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From the Trump administration’s perspective, outcomes matter more than intent. Cocaine continues to flow into the United States, and overdose deaths remain a political flashpoint at home. In that context, nuanced reforms in Colombia are easy to dismiss as failure.
For decades, Colombia was one of the largest recipients of US aid in South America, particularly through programs like Plan Colombia. That partnership was built on shared security goals.
Petro’s left-wing politics and outspoken criticism of US drug policy have created friction. Trump has framed Petro’s rhetoric as hostility, while Petro has pushed back against what he sees as militarized, outdated US demands.
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The clash is as much about tone and trust as it is about policy.
Trump’s language about Colombia is also aimed beyond Bogotá. It signals to other Latin American governments that alignment with US priorities is not optional.
Despite the rhetoric, actual US military action against Colombia would be unprecedented in the modern era.
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Colombia is a sovereign state and a longtime US partner. Any direct military operation would raise serious questions about:
Even limited operations could destabilize a key ally.
When Trump speaks of countries being “next,” it does not necessarily mean invasion. Possible interpretations include:
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The stakes extend far beyond one country.
Latin America has been watching the Venezuelan operation closely. If Colombia, long considered a cooperative partner, can be publicly threatened, no country feels entirely safe from pressure.
Trump’s hard line plays well with voters frustrated by fentanyl and cocaine deaths. Framing the issue as foreign governments “killing Americans” simplifies a complex public health crisis into a national security problem.
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That framing makes escalation more politically attractive.
History shows that aggressive drug enforcement can push trafficking routes elsewhere rather than eliminate them. Any destabilization in Colombia could have ripple effects across borders, potentially strengthening criminal networks in neighboring countries.
For now, Trump’s remarks remain just that, remarks. But in geopolitics, words from a US president rarely fade without consequence.
Diplomatic channels are likely already active behind the scenes. Colombia will face pressure to show measurable results on drugs, while Petro must balance that pressure against domestic political realities.
The bigger question is whether Washington is prepared to accept anything short of a return to the old playbook. If not, the phrase “After Venezuela, is Colombia next?” may linger longer than anyone in the region would like.
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